Predictions of a global food crisis — that the world’s food production would not be able to keep pace with population growth — have a long history. In the 18th century the English cleric Thomas Robert Malthus hypothesized that gains in per capita resources would inevitably be outstripped by population until food supplies finally acted as a barrier to further growth.1
Yeah, my comment wasn’t about expectations or predictions. It was just a thought experiment.
What I expect is only very minor improvements while the market shrinks food access and the least advantaged starve, until the market breaks because too many laborers have died and/or rebelled. That seems inevitable.
This paper was shared on the sub recently. It looks like concurrent failures will be happening sooner than later. Livestock would become very expensive very quickly after maize and soy failures… which I consider the silver lining of the matter, I suppose.
Yeah, my comment wasn’t about expectations or predictions. It was just a thought experiment.
What I expect is only very minor improvements while the market shrinks food access and the least advantaged starve, until the market breaks because too many laborers have died and/or rebelled. That seems inevitable.
This paper was shared on the sub recently. It looks like concurrent failures will be happening sooner than later. Livestock would become very expensive very quickly after maize and soy failures… which I consider the silver lining of the matter, I suppose.