A few weeks ago, a study by Copenhagen University researchers Peter and Susanne Ditlevsen concluded that the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is likely to pass a tipping point already this century, most probably around mid-century. Given the catastrophic consequences of an AMOC breakdown, the study made quite a few headlines but also met some skepticism. Now that the dust has settled, here some thoughts on the criticisms that have been raised about this study. ...
I’m currently in Norway, which is projected (don’t have a citation) to see a 8 K cooling as the result of the AMOC collapse. I don’t know how much warming Norway will have by 2050, presumably 2-4 K.
Germany is expected to experience 2 K of cooling. So potentially the net result is around zero, ignoring probability of extreme events.