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Cake day: August 2nd, 2023

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  • Just to add some context: the entire space shuttle program, over its entire life from 1972 to 2010, was reportedly 200 Billion.

    In 2010, the yearly U.S. military budget was ~650 billion. And they killed the shuttle for being too expensive because that wasn’t spread over enough lunches. (meaning it cost 1.6Billion per launch).

    In 2024, even adjusted for inflation, Starliner has already blown past 1.6 Billion per launch (total cost is about 5.8 Billion)

    Only Crew Dragon, at 2.4 Billion, has reached parity with what the shuttle cost per launch (inflation adjusted). (Dragon 1, which flew 23 cargo missions, was drastically cheaper).

    And both of these are dramatically simpler designs than the space shuttle was.

    So it appears that the trajectory is correct, space travel is getting cheaper, but it took a shitload of work to get there, and that’s building on top of what the Shuttle program taught us.










  • Shamans.

    “Look, he said he knows where all the fruit bearing trees in this forest are. Not a lot of them, all of them. He pointed out a squirrel the other day and told it he was glad to see that it made it through the winter. I don’t know how he does it, but if he says we have to move because the squirrels are starting to move to new trees, who am I to argue? We move.”