• AbouBenAdhem@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      For the election itself, yes. But we’re likely to have major issues after the election if most of Trump’s supporters don’t believe he lost, and polls like this are critical for getting them to accept that.

        • AbouBenAdhem@lemmy.world
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          2 months ago

          There are some who won’t accept it regardless, and some who will be swayed by what they think everyone else is thinking.

          Edit: Also, a lot of the decisions will be made by Republican officeholders who may be happy to play along with the die-hard MAGA faction as long as it doesn’t threaten their own re-election chances, but could get cold feet if Harris polls too high in their own states.

          • winterayars@sh.itjust.works
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            2 months ago

            That’s an important observation. A big part of the “authoritarian follower” personality is a desire to be “normal”, to be like everyone else. If they think everyone just accepts Harris won they may not be happy about it but they’ll be more likely to accept it.

      • jballs@sh.itjust.works
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        2 months ago

        I was hanging out with a group of conservative dudes last night. They are convinced that Trump is going to win and the Democrats are going to refuse to certify the election, which will result in a civil war.

        I really hope that Harris beats his ass so badly that her victory is undeniable. Even then, I’m worried they’ll see that as further proof that the election was stolen. Having media bubbles is incredibly dangerous to our democracy.

      • frezik@midwest.social
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        2 months ago

        Maybe not. The GOP is losing enthusiasm. They’ll still vote for Trump, but it takes more than that to be willing to do violence in the man’s name.

    • zarkanian@sh.itjust.works
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      2 months ago

      Are there really people that think “She’s doing so well on the polls! I guess I don’t need to vote”? I feel like if you’re paying any attention to polls, you’re the kind of person who’s already going to vote. The kind of people you need to reach are ones that don’t care about politics.