Former President Trump holds a 6-point lead over President Biden in a hypothetical 2024 match-up, new polling shows, even as the Republican frontrunner faces mounting legal woes. A Harvard CA…
I get the reason people have been saying that on these poll posts, but I just want to point out that calculations for statistical significance exist specifically to avoid having to sample 90+ percent of a population to gain an adequite confidence level. Mind you a properly formatted survey will be designed to avoid over-representing certain subpopulations, which polls generally have about a 0% chance of doing, and for a poll that’s supposed to represent the whole nation the sample size is definitely way too damn small, so it’s still useless. But everyone implying that statistical probability can’t be calculated accurately without 100% sample data bugs me.
The only poll that matters is the one everyone votes on.
I get the reason people have been saying that on these poll posts, but I just want to point out that calculations for statistical significance exist specifically to avoid having to sample 90+ percent of a population to gain an adequite confidence level. Mind you a properly formatted survey will be designed to avoid over-representing certain subpopulations, which polls generally have about a 0% chance of doing, and for a poll that’s supposed to represent the whole nation the sample size is definitely way too damn small, so it’s still useless. But everyone implying that statistical probability can’t be calculated accurately without 100% sample data bugs me.