I think I saw something about it that. It was an extended prisoner’s dilemma game, right? I wouldn’t say that’s directly applicable to every gaming genre.
Without being in the room, we can only go off what the article lays out. These are wargaming scenarios though, so escalation is a very real concern. If both sides are running these models to provide recommendations and both are pushing for greater conflict, you find yourself in a prisoner’s dilemma real quick.
These aren’t simulations that are estimating results, they’re language models that are extrapolating off a ton of human knowledge embedded as artifacts into text. It’s not necessarily going to pick the best long term solution.
The writers of the article are reporting on use of these models by the military. They aren’t using the models. If I remember right they called out some models developed by one of the defense contractors like palantir
I’m not sure where our disconnect is. We have a situation where both sides can cooperate, one side can defect, or both sides can defect. Call it whatever you want, it’s the same scenario.
Here it’s with planning for military force. Do you risk a nuclear strike to save yourself from one? If you can get a first strike (defect), then you win. If you both refrain (cooperate), then you stay alive. If you both attempt a first strike (defect), you all lose.
Change the words around and it’s the same.
Both suspects don’t tell (cooperate), both get minimum or no jail time. One tells on the other (defects), that one gets off but the other gets maximum. Both tell on each other (defect), both get some jail time.
I think I saw something about it that. It was an extended prisoner’s dilemma game, right? I wouldn’t say that’s directly applicable to every gaming genre.
Without being in the room, we can only go off what the article lays out. These are wargaming scenarios though, so escalation is a very real concern. If both sides are running these models to provide recommendations and both are pushing for greater conflict, you find yourself in a prisoner’s dilemma real quick.
These aren’t simulations that are estimating results, they’re language models that are extrapolating off a ton of human knowledge embedded as artifacts into text. It’s not necessarily going to pick the best long term solution.
Language models can extrapolate but they can also reason (by extrapolating human reasoning).
The models used by the writers of the article and those used by the military are going to be radically different.
The writers of the article are reporting on use of these models by the military. They aren’t using the models. If I remember right they called out some models developed by one of the defense contractors like palantir
Also, they’re reporting on a Stanford study of how these platforms could be used militaristically, not the military’s actual use of them.
The way you said that tells me you don’t know what a prisoner’s dilemma is. It’s not “a situation where both sides have escalated”.
I’m not sure where our disconnect is. We have a situation where both sides can cooperate, one side can defect, or both sides can defect. Call it whatever you want, it’s the same scenario.
Here it’s with planning for military force. Do you risk a nuclear strike to save yourself from one? If you can get a first strike (defect), then you win. If you both refrain (cooperate), then you stay alive. If you both attempt a first strike (defect), you all lose.
Change the words around and it’s the same.
Both suspects don’t tell (cooperate), both get minimum or no jail time. One tells on the other (defects), that one gets off but the other gets maximum. Both tell on each other (defect), both get some jail time.