2024 might be the breakout year for efficient ARM chips in desktop and laptop PCs.

  • Justin@lemmy.jlh.name
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    10 months ago

    This entire article just to hype up Qualcomm releasing a new CPU? I havent seen any evidence to suggest that this new Qualcomm CPU won’t be trash like all the other ones.

    ARM on PC isn’t happening any time soon. They’re not more efficient than x86 CPUs at all.

    Here’s a speed comparison between Qualcomm and AMD’s best cpus from last year. Same TDP.

    https://www.cpu-monkey.com/en/compare_cpu-qualcomm_snapdragon_microsoft_sq3-vs-amd_ryzen_7_7840u

    Here’s Jim Keller, the father of both AMD Ryzen and the Apple M1, saying that ARM is not necessarily more efficient than x86:

    https://chipsandcheese.com/2021/07/13/arm-or-x86-isa-doesnt-matter/

    The only reason why Apple was able to make a successful ARM CPU was because they control the entire OS and the entire supply chain, and they have super expensive exclusivity contracts with TSMC. (because they literally make 50% of all phones in the world)

    AMD’s x86 CPUs are actually faster and more efficient than Apple’s ARM CPUs on the same 5nm process node, but Apple is consistently 2 years ahead when it comes to silicon manufacturing, because of their TSMC deals.

    Qualcomm doesn’t have any of that, and there is no way their CPUs are going to be so much better than AMD’s that people are going to be willing to put up with ISA incompatibilities. Windows on ARM has been a flop.

    At least servers are more reasonable to see ARM chips, because all the software is open-source and all the major cloud vendors are making their own CPUs.

    Nothing against ARM, or alternative ISAs in general, people just don’t understand that x86 vs ARM is not about power efficiency at all, it’s about supply chains and software compatibility.

    • helenslunch@feddit.nl
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      10 months ago

      The only reason why Apple was able to make a successful ARM CPU was because they control the entire OS and the entire supply chain

      One has to assume similar efforts are being undertaken with Qualcomm, Intel, Google, Microsoft, etc.

      I don’t think anyone thinks slapping an ARM processor in a Windows laptop is going to suddenly make them more efficient.

      • MonkderZweite@feddit.ch
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        10 months ago

        I don’t think anyone thinks slapping an ARM processor in a Windows laptop is going to suddenly make them more efficient.

        I say most think exactly that.

    • Lojcs@lemm.ee
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      10 months ago

      Here’s a speed comparison between Qualcomm and AMD’s best cpus from last year. Same TDP.

      Amd’s chip runs on 28 watts and is built on 4nm, qc’s runs on 7 watts and is built on 5nm. They are not equivalent.

      AMD’s x86 CPUs are actually faster and more efficient than Apple’s ARM CPUs on the same 5nm process node, but Apple is consistently 2 years ahead when it comes to silicon manufacturing, because of their TSMC deals.

      Comparing amd 7840u pro (4 nm, 28W) with apple m2 pro 10 core (5 nm, 28W), amd is 7% faster in single core and 10% faster in multi core. It’s unclear how it would be if they were on the same node. Feels they’d be the same

    • corbin@infosec.pubOP
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      10 months ago

      The SQ3 was a custom design only for Surface tablets, I’m not sure it’s representative of Qualcomm’s future generally-available hardware. Early benchmarks on the Snapdragon Elite are much more promising but TDP and other important details are still missing.

      You’re definitely right that software vertical integration is the missing piece. We’re starting to see a little bit of that in the PC ecosystem (e.g. windows using the AI core on newer CPUs/SoCs for live camera and mic effects) but more needs to happen there.

      • Justin@lemmy.jlh.name
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        10 months ago

        That’s true. I haven’t looked that closely at QC’s most recent chips, just pointing out that they’re usually slower/hotter/more-expensive

        It’s good to see competition, but people should manage their expectations. They’re gonna have to be a lot faster/efficient than the AMD 7840u in order to make running ARM worth it on PC.

        It’ll be a fight, and in 2025 they’ll have to compete with Zen 5, too.

    • frezik@midwest.social
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      10 months ago

      You shouldn’t trust TDP numbers. They’re most useful to get a ballpark idea of what size cooler you’ll need for a given chip (and even then, Nactua has their own rating system for matching coolers to chips). AMD, in particular, reinvents their TDP formula regularly and plays with the numbers to get the output they want for comparison purposes.

      Anyway, I’d be fine if ARM ends up being only on par with x86. It’s still a way out of the insanity of the x86 architecture and opens up so many more companies who can make chips.