• cornercase@kbin.social
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    1 year ago

    Yeah, that confused me as well. I had to read that 3 times to figure out the distinction.

    53% of Americans say they would definitely not support him if he’s the GOP nominee, and another 11% say they probably would not back him in November 2024.

    “the GOP nominee” and “in November 2024” both refer to the same thing, but the phrasing change distracts from the definitely/probably thing.

    • OldWoodFrame@lemm.ee
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      1 year ago

      Boy 53% definitely would not support is so bad for him. RCP has the average of polls at 44.4% Biden, 44% Trump, but if 53% definitely would not support Trump then he can only improve by 3 points at most and he’d have to rely on a 3rd party to get the vast majority of the remaining 9% of the electorate? That is a big ask.