The race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump remains close, with no overall bounce in support for Harris out of the DNC, a new ABC News/Ipsos poll shows.
  • Rapidcreek@lemmy.world
    401·
    3 months ago

    Pre-convention, ABC - Wash Post - Ipsos poll had Harris leading Trump 49% - 45% in a two person race.

    This one has Harris 52% - 46%.

    The gender gap is part of the convention bounce

        • whenyellowstonehasitsday@fedia.io
          2·
          3 months ago

          so if a net change between the two is within the margin of error, you can’t state with confidence that it’s an increase and not just random noise

          • Buffalox@lemmy.world
            11·
            3 months ago

            I suppose that confidence would need to have it’s own margin of error. But it seems silly to say we can’t say anything from such a significant difference.
            I’d say the likelihood is still on the side that Harris is doing better than Trump.

          • Rapidcreek@lemmy.world
            12·
            3 months ago

            What? I can say with reasonably certainty that if other polls match their results, which they do, then the MOE is meaningless. I can also say that since the same pollster and ABC took both polls, ABC is straight lying when they say there was no bounce. Their own data says otherwise.

            • whenyellowstonehasitsday@fedia.io
              3·
              3 months ago

              I can say with reasonably certainty that if other polls match their results, which they do, then the MOE is meaningless

              no that isn’t how statistics works

              Their own data says otherwise.

              if you look at only their own data then no, there was a statistically negligible increase

              • Rapidcreek@lemmy.world
                12·
                3 months ago

                FFS. You don’t know how polls work. There are always small increases when you reach 50% The more important issue in these polls is that Trump has a ceiling of ~46%

  • RangerJosie@lemmy.world
    713·
    3 months ago

    Amazing how alienating vast swathes of your potential voters by proping up a genocide doesn’t improve your poll numbers.

    Truly shocking stuff. (It was not in fact shocking)

    They don’t want to win. They want to fundraise.

    Edit - Your boos mean nothing. I’ve seen what makes you cheer.

  • xmunk@sh.itjust.works
    1421·
    3 months ago

    The convention was extremely underwhelming on the topic of climate change. When she was vaguely understood people were giving her the benefit of the doubt but it seems she’s just another liberal leaning centrist.

    • Chocrates@lemmy.world
      94·
      3 months ago

      I don’t think she has claimed otherwise. I may really really want a leftist but the Democrats as a party are largely barely right of center.

      • MegaUltraChicken@lemmy.world
        201·
        3 months ago

        And I’m happy to let someone barely right of center be a placeholder for a future progressive if the alternative is a goddamn Nazi.

        I don’t think anyone arguing otherwise is an actual leftist, just someone who wants to piss in people’s Cheerios as much as possible.

      • xmunk@sh.itjust.works
        148·
        3 months ago

        Harris was an early sponsor of the green new deal - she is now profracking. She’s absolutely moved noticeably to the right.

        • barsquid@lemmy.world
          4·
          3 months ago

          I can only hope that’s to not deter voters the same way coal was an issue in WV in 2000. Otherwise I hate it.

    • Buffalox@lemmy.world
      41·
      3 months ago

      As I see it, Harris beats most on the issues, she is not Bernie or AOC, but among what’s realistically possible, she is better than I expected.
      And she absolutely brings good stuff to the table IMO.

  • xenomor@lemmy.world
    1226·
    3 months ago

    Maybe she’d have done better if she’d taken the opportunity to distance herself from Biden’s genocide policy.